Merrimack
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 74.2564Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 6- 3, 79.3) 10-13 211 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 5, 79.9) 5-16 214 A Lafayette Patriot ( 4- 4, 78.6) 11-17 221 A Stonehill Northeast ( 3- 6, 76.3) 5-14 228 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 3- 6, 76.7) 7-13 304 H New Haven Northeast ( 2- 4, 68.4) 18- 8 310 A Radford Big South ( 1- 6, 68.7) 17- 6 313 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3- 6, 70.5) 16- 9 318 A New Hampshire America East ( 3- 5, 74.5) 321 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlanti ( 4- 4, 79.3) 325 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 5- 3, 81.4) 328 A Sacred Heart Metro Atlanti ( 1- 6, 72.2) 401 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 78.0) 404 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 5- 3, 78.7) 408 A Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 77.1) 411 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 1- 8, 70.4) 418 A Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3- 4, 73.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Monmouth (NJ) 10-13 -3 -4 0.75
211 A Massachusetts-Lowell 5-16 -11 -7 -- -4.03
214 A Lafayette 11-17 -6 -6 -0.35
221 A Stonehill 5-14 -9 -3 -- -5.59
228 H Rhode Island 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.90
304 H New Haven 18- 8 10 7 + 2.77
310 A Radford 17- 6 11 4 +++ 6.77
313 A Presbyterian 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Massachusetts-Lowell 5-16 -11 -7 -- -4.03 221 A Stonehill 5-14 -9 -3 -- -5.59 228 H Rhode Island 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Radford 17- 6 11 4 +++ 6.77 313 A Presbyterian 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.59 304 H New Haven 18- 8 10 7 + 2.77 |
Merrimack Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Akron | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Akron | |
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| American | American | American | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Binghamton | Binghamton | Binghamton | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | Bryant 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| California | California | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | California | |
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Central Connecticut | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Central Michigan | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Coastal Carolina | |
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbia | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Davidson | Davidson | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | ||
| Elon | Elon | Elon | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | Furman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Furman | |
| Gardner Webb | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | George Mason | |
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Howard (DC) | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Iona | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kennesaw State | |
| Kent State | Kent State | Kent State | ||
| La Salle | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Le Moyne | Le Moyne | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Le Moyne | |
| Lehigh | Lehigh | Lehigh | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| LIU | LIU | LIU | ||
| Longwood | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Massachusetts | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | ||
| Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | New Hampshire | |
| New Haven | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Queens | Queens | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Quinnipiac | |
| Radford | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | Rhode Island | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rider | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Merrimack | |
| San Diego State | San Diego State | San Diego State | ||
| Siena | Siena | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Siena | |
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Stonehill | Stonehill | Stonehill | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Temple | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Temple | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UC Davis | |
| UMBC | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| VCU | VCU | VCU | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| William & Mary | William & Mary | William & Mary | ||
| Winthrop | Winthrop | Winthrop | ||
| Wofford | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier | ||
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack |
PowerWise = 24
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 6- 3, 79.3) 10-13 -20.57 19.22 -1.33 1.03 -11.30
0 A Massachusetts- ( 4- 5, 79.9) 5-16 -20.01 19.77 1.33 1.03 -9.64
0 A Lafayette ( 4- 4, 78.6) 11-17 -21.32 18.46 1.33 1.03 -10.32
0 A Stonehill ( 3- 6, 76.3) 5-14 -23.57 16.21 1.33 1.03 -11.47
0 H Rhode Island ( 3- 6, 76.7) 7-13 -23.21 16.57 -1.33 1.03 -12.66
0 H New Haven ( 2- 4, 68.4) 18- 8 -31.54 8.24 -1.33 1.03 14.26
0 A Radford ( 1- 6, 68.7) 17- 6 -31.21 8.58 1.33 1.03 20.45
0 A Presbyterian ( 3- 6, 70.5) 16- 9 -29.38 10.40 1.33 1.03 24.21
------
3.54
|
winning pts = 58.9286 losing points = -55.3899
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------